Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.286506 0.388536 0.501732 0.634349 0.783432 0.944108 1.128734
2025-05-18 0.149312 0.277639 0.440190 0.649183 0.901240 1.187888 1.531824
2025-05-25 0.067490 0.186567 0.360601 0.603487 0.912751 1.277940 1.728628
2025-06-01 0.021965 0.119431 0.292619 0.556916 0.911465 1.344355 1.891391
2025-06-08 0.004501 0.080915 0.252653 0.537256 0.935714 1.434803 2.076502
2025-06-15 0.000263 0.062652 0.239511 0.551532 1.001433 1.574464 2.319368
2025-06-22 NaN 0.042565 0.215101 0.544188 1.034876 1.671353 2.508438
2025-06-29 NaN 0.025343 0.187490 0.526807 1.051214 1.744188 2.666185
2025-07-06 NaN 0.021208 0.190198 0.558795 1.136925 1.906564 2.935203
2025-07-13 NaN 0.018974 0.197354 0.598153 1.233200 2.082846 3.221858
2025-07-20 NaN 0.016272 0.201663 0.632083 1.321458 2.248638 3.495516
2025-07-27 NaN 0.016566 0.216502 0.685097 1.437896 2.451861 3.816640
2025-08-03 NaN 0.013895 0.220764 0.721842 1.535190 2.636130 4.122339
2025-08-10 NaN 0.008625 0.210442 0.731231 1.592631 2.768934 4.365155
2025-08-17 NaN 0.001661 0.173187 0.684231 1.562413 2.782483 4.454706
2025-08-24 NaN NaN 0.137960 0.633967 1.523210 2.781305 4.523434
2025-08-31 NaN NaN 0.118702 0.613026 1.527117 2.836859 4.663261
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.115662 0.628290 1.588567 2.971596 4.905627
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.103735 0.620431 1.611729 3.052781 5.078116
2025-09-21 NaN NaN 0.088740 0.601795 1.615843 3.106596 5.214352
2025-09-28 NaN NaN 0.093703 0.636074 1.708308 3.284733 5.513719
2025-10-05 NaN NaN 0.101504 0.678168 1.814013 3.481686 5.837989
2025-10-12 NaN NaN 0.107134 0.714387 1.909938 3.664976 6.144498